AI Power & Site Readiness

Company: Applied Digital

Site / campus: Ellendale, ND (CoreWeave tenant)Phase: Phase 1 (50 MW)

Verdict

Phase 1 appears already in service (realized milestone), but deliverable capacity is below the peer cohort median under the curtailment-risk proxy. Carbon intensity remains worse than the pinned peer cohort. Renewable content is shown as a state grid‑mix proxy. The final score is a weighted blend of schedule, deliverability, cost, carbon, and reliability views.

Site Readiness Index
86%
index
ProxyConfidence 71%Better than median
Benchmark
Median: 45% · Top quartile: 54%

Top drivers (why)

  1. 1
    Schedule outlook (time-to-power)
    In-service hit probability is 1.0 and expected slippage is 0 days (realized Phase 1 milestone), but schedule-chain inputs are proxy-heavy and marked stale; validate current execution details before external distribution.
  2. 2
    Power deliverability strength
    Deliverable capacity by target is below the peer cohort median under the curtailment-risk proxy; validate node-level deliverability and curtailment exposure for the 50 MW tranche.
  3. 3
    Carbon intensity headwind
    Expected emissions intensity is worse than the peer cohort median, while renewable content (grid‑mix proxy) is above the top quartile; validate contracted renewables posture before external distribution.

KPI snapshot (median / top quartile benchmarks)

KPICurrentBenchmark (Median / Top quartile)Confidence
Site Readiness Index
Stale
86%index
ProxyBetter than median
45% / 54%
median / top quartile
71%
proxy-heavy
Probability of Hitting In‑Service Date
Stale
100%
InferredBetter than median
30% / 46%
median / top quartile
70%
Schedule Slippage (Days)
Stale
0days
InferredBetter than median
341 / 456
median / top quartile
70%
Deliverable Capacity by Target (MW)
Stale
37.137MW
ComputedWorse than median
44.73 / 68.89
median / top quartile
79%
Blended Effective Power Rate ($/MWh)
Current
$85USD/MWh
Computed
/
median / top quartile
81%
Expected Emissions Intensity (kgCO₂e/MWh)
Current
420.299kgCO2e/MWh
ProxyWorse than median
348.95 / 458.42
median / top quartile
58%
proxy-heavy
Reliability Risk Index
Stale
13%index
ComputedBetter than median
44% / 64%
median / top quartile
55%
Total Delay Cost Exposure ($)
Stale
$0
Proxy
/
median / top quartile
79%
proxy-heavy
Renewable Content (%)
Current
26%
ComputedBetter than median
11% / 23%
median / top quartile
95%

Next step

Validate the grid deliverability/curtailment posture for the 50 MW tranche and confirm any contracted renewables posture, then refresh this snapshot.

As-of: 2026-02-15 · Benchmark cohort: AI Supply Chain | US | 2025 Q3
Outside-in, non-binding. Subject to validation.
subject_key: applied-digital-ellendale-nd-phase-1 · contract_version: 1.0.0